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1 of 6 batches fail at 3.1x the normal rate and carry $10.1K of claim cost.

40 claims on 2,400 units shipped: an overall claim rate of 1.67%. Flagged: batches at 2x or more with at least 3 claims.

B-207 runs at 5.13% (3.1x the overall rate) with 20 claims costing $10.1K.

Most of its claims share one region, installer, component: North / NorthCool / Valve.

A cluster shows where to look; it does not prove the cause.

$6,824
1/6
Flagged batches
1
6
Overall claim rate
1.67%
Cost in flagged batches
$10.1K
49%
Above normal rate
$6,824

Claim rate by batch (%)

5
B-207
1
B-204
1
B-203
1
B-206
1
B-208
1
B-205

Overall claim rate x

  • B-2073.1x
  • B-2040.7x
  • B-2030.6x
  • B-2060.6x
  • B-2080.6x
  • B-2050.5x

Batches, worst first

BatchUnitsClaimsRateTimes normalShared factor
B-207390205.13%3.1xNorth / NorthCool / Valve
B-20442051.19%0.7x-
B-20340041%0.6x-
B-20641040.98%0.6x-
B-20840041%0.6x-
B-20538030.79%0.5x-

What to do this week

  • Hold or inspect stock from B-207 before more ships.
  • Check North / NorthCool / Valve first: that is where B-207's claims cluster.
  • Claim back from the supplier: about $6,824 sits above the normal rate.

Do

  • Compare each batch with the overall rate, not with the last one.

Don't

  • Don't act on a batch with one or two claims: it is too small to read.

How to improve

  • Add the install date so the next report can tell a bad batch from a bad season.
  • Add the failure reason so the next report can confirm the cause, not just the cluster.

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Overview

A manufacturer learns about a defect three ways, in order of cost: a pattern in warranty claims, a customer complaint campaign, or a recall.

Almost everyone processes claims as a cost to minimise and throws away the signal inside them. Claims sit in a finance system, coded by whoever approved the payment, and nobody reads them as engineering data — even though they are the only feedback loop reporting what actually happens to a product in the field.

The pattern is never in the total. It is in the intersections. A failure mode concentrated in one production batch is a manufacturing problem. The same failure across all batches but only in hot climates is a design problem. Concentrated in one installer, it is a training problem. Failures clustering just before warranty expiry is a durability problem; clustering just after is a different conversation entirely.

This agent reads claims across those dimensions, separates the causes, projects exposure across units still in warranty, and says how confident each finding is. Timing is the whole value: a defect found early is a production fix, and found late it is a field campaign across everything sold since.

It makes no safety determination and never decides whether to recall.

Benefits

Defects found at production cost

Rather than at field campaign cost.

The right fix for the right cause

A design change will not fix a batch problem.

Claims data finally earning its keep

It is the only real field feedback you get.

What it does

  • Separates manufacturing from design

    Concentrated in one batch is a process problem. Across all batches in one climate is a design problem. Same failure, opposite fixes.

  • Reads age at failure

    Clustering just before warranty expiry is durability. Just after is a conversation you will have anyway, without the claims.

  • Finds the installer pattern

    A failure concentrated in one dealer's work is training, not engineering. The total never shows it.

  • Projects exposure across the field

    What the pattern implies for units still in warranty, and what that costs if nothing changes.

  • States confidence honestly

    Three claims is not a pattern, and the report says so rather than promoting it.

  • Decides no recall

    It escalates a safety signal immediately and makes no safety determination of any kind.

What this changes

What this changes about your week

It takes over
Reading warranty claims as engineering data rather than as a cost line.
Done today by
Nobody. Claims sit in a finance system coded by whoever approved payment.
How often
Never, which is why defects are found by recall.
Typical manual effort
Every failure mode has to be crossed against batch, climate, installer and age.

Why Manufacturing in particular. The pattern is never in the total — it is in the intersections. Concentrated in a batch is manufacturing; spread across batches but concentrated in heat is design. Same failure, opposite fixes.

  • Runs unattended

    Started by you or by an event, and it finishes on its own. Nothing waits for someone to be at a desk.

  • The same standard every time

    The two-hundredth item is held to the bar the first one was. Consistency is the part people cannot sustain.

  • It cannot act on its own

    Warranty Claim Analyst has no path to sending, spending or committing. That limit is why its output is safe to act on.

How it runs

This agent runs server-side through the PROMIVO runtime. Each run is logged step by step and every tool call is permission-checked before it executes.

  1. 1InputValidated against the agent input schema
  2. 2Modelclaude-opus-5 with automatic fallback
  3. 3Toolsextract_structured_data
  4. 4PermissionsRuns READ actions automatically; anything higher waits for approval
  5. 5OutputStructured result matching the output schema
  6. 6LoggingTokens, duration and every step recorded

Requirements

Integrations

No integrations required.

Before you start

  • Warranty claims with failure mode, date, and cost
  • Product, batch or serial data, and date of sale
  • Region or installer, where you record it
  • Units sold per batch, for rate calculations
  • Requires the All-Access plan or higher

Use cases

Monthly quality review

Patterns by batch, region, installer and age.

After a new product launch

Early field signal, while a production fix is still possible.

Supplier quality disputes

Whether the pattern points at a component or an assembly.

Warranty reserving

Exposure from patterns already visible in the data.

Pricing

All-Access

Billed monthly through your PROMIVO subscription. Cancel at any time.

Runs consume your plan allowance for agent executions and tokens. See plan limits

FAQ

Does it decide whether to recall?

No, and it must not. A recall is a safety, legal and regulatory decision. Where a pattern suggests a safety issue it stops and escalates immediately, without characterising the risk.

Does it approve or reject claims?

No. It never touches an individual claim. It reads the population for patterns.

How many claims does it need?

It reports confidence per pattern and says when a cluster is too small to conclude anything. A three-claim pattern presented as a finding is how expensive false alarms start.

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